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Will Precious Metals Outperform the S&P 500 for a Third Consecutive Year? – goldsilverpress


Key Points

Gold and silver continue to outperform U.S. equities, marking a significant shift in the investment landscape. Evaluating precious metals is fundamentally different from analyzing stocks, and portfolio allocation by asset class should reflect individual risk tolerance and preferences. Recently, gold prices surged past $5,000 per ounce, while silver exceeded $100 per ounce. This remarkable growth rate has outpaced the performance of the S&P 500 in 2026, building on strong performances from 2024 and 2025.

In this article, we will delve into the factors driving the rally in gold and silver, explore the potential for continued growth, and discuss simple ways to gain exposure to precious metals through your brokerage account.

Factors Driving Gold and Silver Higher

The rapid rise in the value of gold and silver can be attributed to a combination of investor enthusiasm and robust fundamentals. Here are some key factors influencing their prices:

Hedge Against Inflation: Gold and silver have long been viewed as safe havens during periods of inflation and fiat currency instability. As inflation rises, investors flock to these precious metals to preserve their wealth.

Weakening U.S. Dollar: The dollar is coming off its worst year since 2017, prompting investors to seek alternatives. Gold and silver provide significant diversification from dollar-sensitive assets like U.S. equities and bonds.

Geopolitical Tensions: Escalating geopolitical tensions, particularly between the U.S. and other nations, have further bolstered gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset.

Industrial Demand for Silver: Silver’s price growth rate had lagged behind gold’s until a breakout year in 2025, where it surpassed its previous high from 1980. The metal’s use in industrial processes, electric vehicles, and AI data centers has driven demand.

Incorporating Precious Metals into a Diversified Portfolio

Investing in gold and silver is inherently different from stock investments. While stocks are evaluated based on financial performance, gold and silver are commodities driven by supply and demand dynamics. As such, building an investment thesis for precious metals requires a different approach.

Portfolio Allocation

Determining the role of gold and silver in your portfolio is crucial. Consider whether you want these assets to comprise 5%, 10%, or even more of your financial portfolio. Notable investors have contrasting views on gold; for instance, Warren Buffett has historically avoided it, believing that stocks will outperform in the long run.

Avoiding Emotional Decisions

One of the biggest pitfalls for investors is getting swept up in rising prices without understanding the underlying fundamentals. If you’re interested in gold and silver solely because of their recent performance, it’s wise to pause and reassess your motivations.

Buying Gold and Silver Through Precious Metals ETFs

For those convinced that gold and silver will continue to be sought after, investing through exchange-traded funds (ETFs) can be an effective strategy. Holding physical gold and silver comes with security and storage risks, whereas ETFs like SPDR Gold Shares (NYSEMKT: GLD) and iShares Silver Trust (NYSEMKT: SLV) offer a more liquid and straightforward investment vehicle.

Expense Ratios

While ETFs provide convenience, it’s essential to consider their expense ratios. For example, SPDR Gold Shares has an expense ratio of 0.4%, while iShares Gold Trust has a more favorable 0.25%. The iShares Silver Trust, despite a higher expense ratio of 0.5%, remains a reputable option with significant net assets.

Staying Even-Keeled When Approaching Gold and Silver

As gold and silver continue to outperform the S&P 500, it’s crucial to focus on your portfolio’s allocation rather than getting caught up in price fluctuations. For those contributing new savings, consider dollar-cost averaging into gold and silver ETFs over time. This strategy can help mitigate the emotional stress associated with market volatility.

Should You Buy Stock in iShares Gold Trust Right Now?

Before making any investment decisions, it’s essential to evaluate your options carefully. The Motley Fool’s Stock Advisor analyst team has identified ten stocks they believe are currently better investment opportunities than iShares Gold Trust. Historical performance shows that investing in their recommended stocks has yielded substantial returns.

Conclusion

Gold and silver are experiencing a remarkable resurgence, driven by a combination of economic and geopolitical factors. As you consider incorporating these precious metals into your portfolio, focus on your investment strategy and risk tolerance. Whether through ETFs or other means, a well-thought-out approach can help you navigate the complexities of investing in gold and silver.

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